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Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C

● quote 40s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $46.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $149.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C
100.0¢
Nemiga
0.1¢
Black Phoenix
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:134 trades$18.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Black Phoenix · $40 net·2 wallets·$240 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNemiga$10.0K@ 100¢·Iostfd

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Black Phoenix pressure: $4.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.6K
6h
−$15.0K
tracked
$18.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Black Phoenix · $40 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Black Phoenix or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-14 21:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against Black Phoenix.

•This market will resolve to "Black Phoenix" if Black Phoenix win the match against Nemiga.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Nemiga and Black Phoenix in the CIS LAN Championship Group C, initially scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against Black Phoenix. This market will resolve to "Black Phoenix" if Black Phoenix win the match against Nemiga. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Black Phoenix DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $16 → $3 · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nemiga; negative values favor Black Phoenix. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBlack Phoenix · $4.6K
6hBlack Phoenix · $15.0K
24hBlack Phoenix · $15.0K

Nemiga price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nemiga price. Black Phoenix fills are converted to the complementary Nemiga probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h95.1¢▲ above by 4.8pp
VWAP 7d95.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nemiga price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$15.5K
90¢
$21
85¢
$868
80¢
$296
75¢
$146
70¢
$58
65¢
$602
60¢
$114
55¢
$0
50¢
$148
45¢
$314
40¢
$153
35¢
$150
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNemiga$10.0K@ 99.9¢
Iostfd0xddc3…029c
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.