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Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $158.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $546.0KEvent: Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
89.0¢
LOUD
11.0¢
EDward Gaming
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets96Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:107 trades$147.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:EDward Gaming · $15.0K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$15.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEDward Gaming$50.0K@ 30¢·omomom3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

EDward Gaming pressure: $4.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.9K
6h
−$62.0K
tracked
$147.3K

6 verified profitable wallets: EDward Gaming · $15.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -18.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from EDward Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against EDward Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against LOUD.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and EDward Gaming in the VCT Champions Group B, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against LOUD. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $40.4K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $27.8K gross
0x9a01…24d02 linked markets · $19.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY EDward Gaming@ 30.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -17.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY LOUD@ 72.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp
Latest book event: LOUD UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $3.2K → $2.6K · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOUD; negative values favor EDward Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEDward Gaming · $4.9K
6hEDward Gaming · $62.0K
24hEDward Gaming · $66.3K

LOUD price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOUD price. EDward Gaming fills are converted to the complementary LOUD probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current89.0¢
VWAP 24h70.5¢▲ above by 18.5pp
VWAP 7d70.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOUD price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$817
80¢
$33
75¢
$41
70¢
$146.0K
65¢
$7.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEDward Gaming$16.3K@ 30.0¢
levaluv0x3ce8…3cd9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEDward Gaming$50.0K@ 30.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEDward Gaming$13.2K@ 29.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLOUD$20.3K@ 71.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

omomom3EDward Gaming$50.0K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·1 fill
Lakersfan111LOUD$20.3K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill
levaluvEDward Gaming$16.3K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cEDward Gaming$13.2K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.