PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $58.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $479.4KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
81.5¢
Chicago Cubs
18.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets57Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:126 trades$192.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53s agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $22.2K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$39.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$34.8K@ 58¢·vjnn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Cincinnati Reds pressure: $13.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.1K
6h
+$45.1K
tracked
$192.9K

12 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $22.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 57

Since latest large flow: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 24.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cincinnati Reds or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 18 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vjnn2 linked markets · $51.3K gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $368 gross
DriftCapital2 linked markets · $24 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -11.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 58.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Cincinnati Reds DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.6K → $151 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $13.1K
6hChicago Cubs · $45.1K
24hChicago Cubs · $62.6K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current81.5¢
VWAP 24h56.1¢▲ above by 25.4pp
VWAP 7d56.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$0
75¢
$5.6K
70¢
$12.1K
65¢
$4.2K
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$121.1K
50¢
$11.3K
45¢
$8.0K
40¢
$22.0K
35¢
$5.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$34.8K@ 58.0¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$27.7K@ 57.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$12.5K@ 57.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
100.0¢$983.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$626.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
100.0¢$534.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$525.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
55.5¢$504.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
43.5¢$431.6Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$430.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

vjnnChicago Cubs$34.8K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingChicago Cubs$27.7K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill
FeromontCincinnati Reds$15.0K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49Chicago Cubs$12.5K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.