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Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio Callejon

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $55.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $151.1KEvent: Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio Callejon
100.0¢
Rodrigo Pacheco
0.1¢
Sergio Callejon
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:121 trades$41.0K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 87 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rodrigo Pacheco · $17.3K net·8 wallets·$22.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRodrigo Pacheco$6.0K@ 83¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$16.0K
tracked
$41.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Rodrigo Pacheco · $17.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 87 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Sergio Callejon in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Sergio Callejon. This market will resolve to 'Sergio Callejon' if Sergio Callejon advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Rodrigo Pacheco UP 9.4pp · near-book depth $522 → $1.0K · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rodrigo Pacheco; negative values favor Sergio Callejon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRodrigo Pacheco · $0
6hRodrigo Pacheco · $16.0K
24hRodrigo Pacheco · $17.7K

Rodrigo Pacheco price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rodrigo Pacheco price. Sergio Callejon fills are converted to the complementary Rodrigo Pacheco probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.6¢▲ above by 14.4pp
VWAP 7d85.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rodrigo Pacheco price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.2K
90¢
$5.1K
85¢
$4.2K
80¢
$22.3K
75¢
$1.5K
70¢
$87
65¢
$10
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$290
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpRodrigo Pacheco$11.5K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.