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Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kaito Uesugi

Sports→Settlement: Alexandr BindaLiquidity: $115.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $194.0KEvent: Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Kaito Uesugi
100.0¢
Alexandr Binda payout
0.0¢
Kaito Uesugi payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:24 trades$94.3K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 120 min agoofficial metadata 64 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexandr Binda · $6.9K net·3 wallets·$7.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexandr Binda$19.2K@ 89¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alexandr Binda. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 09:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Kaito Uesugi in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Kaito Uesugi. This market will resolve to 'Kaito Uesugi' if Kaito Uesugi advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL Alexandr Binda@ 96.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Alexandr Binda@ 95.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexandr Binda@ 91.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Kaito Uesugi DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $483 → $402 · 29s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexandr Binda; negative values favor Kaito Uesugi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaito Uesugi · $791
6hAlexandr Binda · $92.6K
24hAlexandr Binda · $92.6K

Alexandr Binda price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexandr Binda price. Kaito Uesugi fills are converted to the complementary Alexandr Binda probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.4¢▲ above by 9.6pp
VWAP 7d90.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexandr Binda price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.1K
90¢
$17.4K
85¢
$65.9K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexandr Binda$11.1K@ 93.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexandr Binda$19.2K@ 89.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexandr Binda$18.9K@ 89.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexandr Binda$19.0K@ 88.0¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseAlexandr Binda$68.2K
BUY VWAP 89.3¢·4 fills
yesmateAlexandr Binda$14.0K
BUY VWAP 93.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.