PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $57.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Guangzhou: Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof
8.0¢
Maxim Zhukov
92.0¢
Thijmen Loof
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:244 trades$553.7K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maxim Zhukov · $17.6K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$90.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLThijmen Loof$37.7K@ 80¢·Datacent

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Thijmen Loof pressure: $74.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$74.0K
6h
−$17.2K
tracked
$553.7K

15 verified profitable wallets: Maxim Zhukov · $17.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 88% · priority 48

Since latest position change: +38.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 38.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Thijmen Loof or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 10:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Zhukov and Thijmen Loof in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Thijmen Loof. This market will resolve to 'Thijmen Loof' if Thijmen Loof advances against Maxim Zhukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Thijmen Loof4m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Thijmen Loof4m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Thijmen Loof4m ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Thijmen Loof@ 56.0¢16m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Thijmen Loof UP 14.5pp · near-book depth $2.6K → $9.5K · 37s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maxim Zhukov; negative values favor Thijmen Loof. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThijmen Loof · $74.0K
6hThijmen Loof · $17.2K
24hThijmen Loof · $17.2K

Maxim Zhukov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maxim Zhukov price. Thijmen Loof fills are converted to the complementary Maxim Zhukov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.0¢
VWAP 24h35.3¢▼ below by 27.3pp
VWAP 7d35.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Maxim Zhukov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.2K
50¢
$57.2K
45¢
$91.1K
40¢
$143.4K
35¢
$17.5K
30¢
$3.4K
25¢
$20.7K
20¢
$196.0K
15¢
$18.8K
10¢
$1.4K
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYThijmen Loof$10.7K@ 58.3¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYThijmen Loof$15.0K@ 56.6¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYThijmen Loof$10.1K@ 57.0¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYThijmen Loof$11.4K@ 49.8¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYThijmen Loof$12.5K@ 51.4¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYThijmen Loof$14.4K@ 51.3¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYMaxim Zhukov$13.8K@ 50.9¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYThijmen Loof$16.3K@ 59.5¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—32 minutes ago
SELLThijmen Loof$18.4K@ 76.5¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThijmen Loof$17.3K@ 77.5¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThijmen Loof$18.5K@ 78.6¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThijmen Loof$20.2K@ 78.6¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThijmen Loof$12.1K@ 80.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThijmen Loof$22.0K@ 78.5¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThijmen Loof$37.7K@ 79.5¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThijmen Loof$14.8K@ 80.0¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThijmen Loof$18.6K@ 81.1¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThijmen Loof$13.9K@ 60.4¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYThijmen Loof$13.5K@ 59.6¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYThijmen Loof$14.6K@ 56.4¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYThijmen Loof$13.5K@ 56.1¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYThijmen Loof$26.6K@ 57.0¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYThijmen Loof$12.7K@ 54.8¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYThijmen Loof$16.6K@ 51.3¢
Datacent0x1029…c621
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
83.5¢$2.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
43.5¢$1.1Mpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$429.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
58.5¢$425.0Kpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Heroic (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢$365.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DatacentThijmen Loof$228.8K
BUY VWAP 55.6¢·20 fills
DatacentMaxim Zhukov$17.4K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesMaxim Zhukov$12.6K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·27 fills
ferrariChampions2026Thijmen Loof$12.1K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesThijmen Loof$11.4K
BUY VWAP 75.6¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.