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Guangzhou: Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao

Sports→Settlement: Colin SinclairLiquidity: $550.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $432.9KEvent: Guangzhou: Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao
100.0¢
Colin Sinclair payout
0.0¢
Linang Xiao payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:140 trades$146.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 30 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Colin Sinclair · $5.5K net·15 wallets·$13.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLColin Sinclair$25.0K@ 51¢·fivethirty

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Colin Sinclair. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-21 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Colin Sinclair and Linang Xiao in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Colin Sinclair' if Colin Sinclair advances against Linang Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Colin Sinclair. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Colin Sinclair1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Colin Sinclair1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Colin Sinclair@ 65.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Colin Sinclair@ 64.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Colin Sinclair DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $2.2K → $190 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Colin Sinclair; negative values favor Linang Xiao. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLinang Xiao · $26.6K
6hLinang Xiao · $24.3K
24hLinang Xiao · $17.6K

Colin Sinclair price VWAP

Volume-weighted Colin Sinclair price. Linang Xiao fills are converted to the complementary Colin Sinclair probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h60.0¢▲ above by 40.0pp
VWAP 7d60.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Colin Sinclair price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$29.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$170
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$7.1K
55¢
$22.4K
50¢
$35.2K
45¢
$22.8K
40¢
$1.8K
35¢
$21.3K
30¢
$2
25¢
$0
20¢
$226
15¢
$39
10¢
$2.3K
5¢
$510
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLColin Sinclair$17.4K@ 99.9¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLColin Sinclair$25.0K@ 50.6¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYColin Sinclair$20.9K@ 39.9¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYColin Sinclair$10.0K@ 57.4¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fivethirtyColin Sinclair$32.0K
BUY VWAP 36.1¢·4 fills
RunemupColin Sinclair$10.0K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.