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Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

Sports→Settlement: Fajing SunLiquidity: $814.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $506.9KEvent: Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau
100.0¢
Fajing Sun payout
0.0¢
Alexis Galarneau payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:112 trades$202.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexis Galarneau · $11.5K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$67.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFajing Sun$37.0K@ 100¢·fivethirty

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Fajing Sun. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-21 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Fajing Sun and Alexis Galarneau in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Fajing Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Fajing Sun1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Fajing Sun1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Fajing Sun@ 73.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Fajing Sun@ 73.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alexis Galarneau DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.3K → $259 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fajing Sun; negative values favor Alexis Galarneau. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexis Galarneau · $27.9K
6hAlexis Galarneau · $26.4K
24hAlexis Galarneau · $26.4K

Fajing Sun price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fajing Sun price. Alexis Galarneau fills are converted to the complementary Fajing Sun probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.3¢▲ above by 30.7pp
VWAP 7d69.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fajing Sun price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$62.7K
90¢
$3.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$28.4K
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$17.1K
65¢
$21.4K
60¢
$5.4K
55¢
$15.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$7.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$6.3K
20¢
$3.8K
15¢
$6.0K
10¢
$16.2K
5¢
$190
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFajing Sun$15.5K@ 99.9¢
Gambler6610x4419…fcf4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLFajing Sun$37.0K@ 99.9¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFajing Sun$28.4K@ 80.3¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fivethirtyFajing Sun$30.0K
BUY VWAP 81.1¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Alexis Galarneau$11.7K
BUY VWAP 33.2¢·5 fills
tennizFajing Sun$10.5K
BUY VWAP 46.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.