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Szczecin: Kacper Knitter vs Martin Krumich

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $20.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2KEvent: Szczecin: Kacper Knitter vs Martin Krumich
8.5¢
Kacper Knitter
91.5¢
Martin Krumich
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution77Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:19 trades$16.6K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 93 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMartin Krumich$9.3K@ 93¢·Jan777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$16.6K
tracked
$16.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 93 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kacper Knitter and Martin Krumich in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kacper Knitter' if Kacper Knitter advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Kacper Knitter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kacper Knitter; negative values favor Martin Krumich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKacper Knitter · $0
6hMartin Krumich · $16.6K
24hMartin Krumich · $16.6K

Kacper Knitter price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kacper Knitter price. Martin Krumich fills are converted to the complementary Kacper Knitter probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.5¢
VWAP 24h7.8¢▲ above by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d7.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kacper Knitter price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$4.3K
5¢
← now
$12.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jan777Martin Krumich$16.5K
BUY VWAP 92.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.