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Phan Thiet 4: Timofei Derepasko vs Taisei Ichikawa

Sports→Settlement: Timofei DerepaskoLiquidity: $81.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $97.1KEvent: Phan Thiet 4: Timofei Derepasko vs Taisei Ichikawa
100.0¢
Timofei Derepasko payout
0.0¢
Taisei Ichikawa payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:58 trades$39.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Timofei Derepasko · $5.0K net·5 wallets·$6.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTimofei Derepasko$18.1K@ 100¢·fivethirty

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Timofei Derepasko. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-21 04:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Timofei Derepasko and Taisei Ichikawa in the Phan Thiet 4, Vietnam, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 12:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofei Derepasko' if Timofei Derepasko advances against Taisei Ichikawa. This market will resolve to 'Taisei Ichikawa' if Taisei Ichikawa advances against Timofei Derepasko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Taisei Ichikawa UP 4.2pp · near-book depth $60 → $11 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Timofei Derepasko; negative values favor Taisei Ichikawa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTaisei Ichikawa · $18.1K
6hTimofei Derepasko · $1.2K
24hTimofei Derepasko · $1.2K

Timofei Derepasko price VWAP

Volume-weighted Timofei Derepasko price. Taisei Ichikawa fills are converted to the complementary Timofei Derepasko probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h77.5¢▲ above by 22.5pp
VWAP 7d77.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Timofei Derepasko price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.2K
90¢
$205
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$450
75¢
$298
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$14.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTimofei Derepasko$18.1K@ 99.9¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.