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Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Nao Hibino

Sports→Settlement: Magdalena FrechLiquidity: $250.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $303.3KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Nao Hibino
100.0¢
Magdalena Frech payout
0.0¢
Nao Hibino payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:74 trades$167.3K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 63 min agoofficial metadata 43 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Magdalena Frech · $45.1K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$45.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMagdalena Frech$39.7K@ 86¢·fivethirty

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Magdalena Frech. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-21 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Frech and Nao Hibino in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Nao Hibino. This market will resolve to 'Nao Hibino' if Nao Hibino advances against Magdalena Frech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Magdalena Frech1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Magdalena Frech@ 92.5¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Magdalena Frech@ 88.9¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.2pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Magdalena Frech DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $31.7K → $2.9K · 72s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Magdalena Frech; negative values favor Nao Hibino. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNao Hibino · $20.1K
6hMagdalena Frech · $64.6K
24hMagdalena Frech · $64.6K

Magdalena Frech price VWAP

Volume-weighted Magdalena Frech price. Nao Hibino fills are converted to the complementary Magdalena Frech probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.5¢▲ above by 10.5pp
VWAP 7d89.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Magdalena Frech price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$44.5K
90¢
$18.6K
85¢
$91.4K
80¢
$40
75¢
$12.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMagdalena Frech$10.9K@ 96.8¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLMagdalena Frech$39.7K@ 86.4¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMagdalena Frech$30.0K@ 87.7¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMagdalena Frech$10.7K@ 91.8¢
fivethirty0x2e6c…0c51
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMagdalena Frech$11.6K@ 95.9¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fivethirtyMagdalena Frech$40.7K
BUY VWAP 88.7¢·2 fills
FlaznorpMagdalena Frech$30.9K
BUY VWAP 96.3¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.