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Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $55.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $309.6KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
99.8¢
Minnesota Twins
0.2¢
Los Angeles Angels
0.2¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$110.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 52s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Minnesota Twins · $8.9K net·4 wallets·$9.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Angels$40.0K@ 50¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Minnesota Twins pressure: $10.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.9K
6h
−$83.5K
tracked
$110.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Minnesota Twins · $8.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.2¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -53.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Minnesota Twins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 20:07 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for September 20 at 4:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -23.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 50.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp
Latest book event: Minnesota Twins UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $32.8K · 34s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota Twins; negative values favor Los Angeles Angels. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMinnesota Twins · $10.9K
6hLos Angeles Angels · $83.5K
24hLos Angeles Angels · $83.5K

Minnesota Twins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota Twins price. Los Angeles Angels fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota Twins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.8¢
VWAP 24h58.2¢▲ above by 41.6pp
VWAP 7d58.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Minnesota Twins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$34
90¢
$7.0K
85¢
$3.0K
80¢
$5.4K
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$1
65¢
$11.8K
60¢
$2
55¢
$65
50¢
$80.8K
45¢
$11
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Angels$40.0K@ 50.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels$29.5K@ 49.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Los Angeles Angels$78.8K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·3 fills
KatalunygeaxvhjLos Angeles Angels$16.5K
BUY VWAP 26.7¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.