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Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $186.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $164.0KEvent: Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan
28.0¢
Bryce Nakashima
72.0¢
Andre Ilagan
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets91Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority74Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:114 trades$86.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42s agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bryce Nakashima · $26.1K net·7 wallets·$28.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAndre Ilagan$12.0K@ 60¢·0x658e…d758

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Bryce Nakashima SETUP
What the tape says

Bryce Nakashima pressure: $32.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$32.6K
6h
+$31.3K
tracked
$86.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: Bryce Nakashima · $26.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 88% · priority 74

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Bryce Nakashima or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Bryce Nakashima and Andre Ilagan in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bryce Nakashima' if Bryce Nakashima advances against Andre Ilagan. This market will resolve to 'Andre Ilagan' if Andre Ilagan advances against Bryce Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Bryce Nakashima DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $21.9K → $8.3K · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bryce Nakashima; negative values favor Andre Ilagan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBryce Nakashima · $32.6K
6hBryce Nakashima · $31.3K
24hBryce Nakashima · $28.8K

Bryce Nakashima price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bryce Nakashima price. Andre Ilagan fills are converted to the complementary Bryce Nakashima probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.0¢
VWAP 24h49.3¢▼ below by 21.3pp
VWAP 7d49.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bryce Nakashima price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$2.0K
70¢
$10.9K
65¢
$13.5K
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$180
50¢
$5.3K
45¢
$7.7K
40¢
$1.8K
35¢
$23.1K
30¢
$10.3K
25¢
← now
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$7.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAndre Ilagan$12.0K@ 60.3¢0x658e…d758🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYBryce Nakashima$10.6K@ 69.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Bryce Nakashima$11.9K
BUY VWAP 20.0¢·3 fills
johnny234Bryce Nakashima$10.6K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.