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LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner

● quote 36s ago
Sports→Closes: 15 minutesLiquidity: $13.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $170.1KEvent: LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs
61.9¢
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
38.1¢
Golden Lions
2.3¢
Spread
anomaly29Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution60Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$27.3K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas$9.9K@ 94¢·999999666544332578855667788

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$231
6h
+$26.7K
tracked
$27.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · $1 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.3¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win Game 3 against Golden Lions.

•This market will resolve to "Golden Lions" if Golden Lions win Game 3 against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and Golden Lions in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win Game 3 against Golden Lions. This market will resolve to "Golden Lions" if Golden Lions win Game 3 against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
arm13372 linked markets · $8.2K gross
ColdBlooded3 linked markets · $7.1K gross
0x042e…462e2 linked markets · $127 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Golden Lions DOWN 5.7pp · near-book depth $8 → $29 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas; negative values favor Golden Lions. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · $231
6hKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · $26.7K
24hKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · $26.7K

KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas price VWAP

Volume-weighted KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas price. Golden Lions fills are converted to the complementary KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.9¢
VWAP 24h90.8¢▼ below by 28.9pp
VWAP 7d90.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$2.7K
90¢
$10.0K
85¢
$12.5K
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$610
70¢
$32
65¢
$231
60¢
← now
$44
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

999999666544332578855667788KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas$19.6K
BUY VWAP 91.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.