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W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $106.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $196.2KEvent: W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis
49.5¢
Meng Yi Chen
50.5¢
Tahlia Kokkinis
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:11 trades$86.4K tracked18% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 104 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTahlia Kokkinis$64.3K@ 51¢·RealityTwister

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$589
tracked
$86.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 104 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Meng Yi Chen and Tahlia Kokkinis in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meng Yi Chen' if Meng Yi Chen advances against Tahlia Kokkinis. This market will resolve to 'Tahlia Kokkinis' if Tahlia Kokkinis advances against Meng Yi Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tahlia Kokkinis@ 53.0¢8h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Tahlia Kokkinis@ 52.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Meng Yi Chen; negative values favor Tahlia Kokkinis. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMeng Yi Chen · $0
6hMeng Yi Chen · $589
24hTahlia Kokkinis · $80.8K

Meng Yi Chen price VWAP

Volume-weighted Meng Yi Chen price. Tahlia Kokkinis fills are converted to the complementary Meng Yi Chen probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h48.8¢▲ above by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d48.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Meng Yi Chen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.2K
45¢
← now
$84.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTahlia Kokkinis$18.2K@ 52.0¢
RealityTwister0xc6b6…13ac
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYTahlia Kokkinis$64.3K@ 51.0¢
RealityTwister0xc6b6…13ac
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RealityTwisterTahlia Kokkinis$82.6K
BUY VWAP 51.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.