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Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Ugo Blanchet

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $137.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $338.6KEvent: Rennes: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Ugo Blanchet
54.5¢
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg payout
45.5¢
Ugo Blanchet payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:59 trades$137.9K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $38.6K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$39.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$24.7K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg and Ugo Blanchet in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Ugo Blanchet. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' if Ugo Blanchet advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg@ 96.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Ugo Blanchet@ 5.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg@ 95.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg@ 95.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Ugo Blanchet DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $6 → $41 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg; negative values favor Ugo Blanchet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $1.2K
6hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $15.0K
24hSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · $15.0K

Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price. Ugo Blanchet fills are converted to the complementary Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h83.6¢▼ below by 29.1pp
VWAP 7d83.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$55.6K
90¢
$9.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$5.4K
75¢
$44.9K
70¢
$0
65¢
$203
60¢
$15.9K
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$0
45¢
$6.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$24.7K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$11.2K@ 95.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$12.0K@ 95.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUgo Blanchet$15.0K@ 22.8¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$15.8K@ 79.2¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$15.9K@ 64.2¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xabidakingUgo Blanchet$28.8K
BUY VWAP 23.3¢·4 fills
FlaznorpSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$23.2K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·3 fills
kkookkooSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$15.9K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·1 fill
watcherz88Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg$15.8K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.