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Spread: Vikings (-17.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $14.5KEvent: Colts vs. Vikings

Polymarket indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

15.5¢
Vikings
84.5¢
Colts
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$3.2K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVikings$1.6K@ 16¢·0xbc43…96d3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$817
tracked
$3.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Colts · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 74 minutes old.
  • •Less than 16h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 18 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Vikings, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colts". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vikings; negative values favor Colts. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVikings · $0
6hVikings · $817
24hVikings · $817

Vikings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vikings price. Colts fills are converted to the complementary Vikings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current15.5¢
VWAP 24h15.51¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d15.51¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vikings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$3.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Vikings (-6.5)
49.5¢$75.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-14.5)
23.5¢$39.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Vikings
28.5¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5
46.5¢$413priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-8.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)
60.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 54.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-21.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.