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Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $714.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $520.5KEvent: Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch
100.0¢
Diego Dedura-Palomero
0.1¢
Kilian Feldbausch
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:156 trades$155.4K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 12s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Diego Dedura-Palomero · $4.0K net·8 wallets·$44.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDiego Dedura-Palomero$13.2K@ 100¢·devilbanker

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Diego Dedura-Palomero pressure: $11.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.4K
6h
−$43.1K
tracked
$155.4K

8 verified profitable wallets: Diego Dedura-Palomero · $4.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -54.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Diego Dedura-Palomero or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Kilian Feldbausch in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Kilian Feldbausch. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Kilian Feldbausch1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Kilian Feldbausch1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Kilian Feldbausch@ 55.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Kilian Feldbausch@ 55.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp
Latest book event: Kilian Feldbausch UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $704 → $410 · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Diego Dedura-Palomero; negative values favor Kilian Feldbausch. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiego Dedura-Palomero · $11.4K
6hKilian Feldbausch · $43.1K
24hKilian Feldbausch · $43.1K

Diego Dedura-Palomero price VWAP

Volume-weighted Diego Dedura-Palomero price. Kilian Feldbausch fills are converted to the complementary Diego Dedura-Palomero probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h62.3¢▲ above by 37.7pp
VWAP 7d62.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Diego Dedura-Palomero price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$22.2K
90¢
$8.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.7K
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$4.5K
65¢
$5.2K
60¢
$19.5K
55¢
$6.3K
50¢
$49.9K
45¢
$18.9K
40¢
$9.5K
35¢
$1.0K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$1.2K
20¢
$487
15¢
$532
10¢
$1
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDiego Dedura-Palomero$13.2K@ 99.9¢
devilbanker0xef1b…8697
🐋—20 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RunemupKilian Feldbausch$26.9K
BUY VWAP 48.2¢·6 fills
xabidakingKilian Feldbausch$22.4K
BUY VWAP 41.7¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Kilian Feldbausch$15.8K
BUY VWAP 44.8¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.