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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $627.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $195.5KEvent: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
40.5¢
Chicago White Sox
59.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly96Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets79Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$76.7K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $29.0K net·4 wallets·$36.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$19.8K@ 59¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$71
6h
+$4.1K
tracked
$76.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $29.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 16 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $13.9K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.3K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $6.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 60.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago White Sox; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $71
6hChicago White Sox · $4.1K
24hChicago White Sox · $4.1K

Chicago White Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago White Sox price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Chicago White Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h39.7¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d39.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago White Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$37.3K
35¢
$39.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$19.8K@ 59.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$10.0K@ 59.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketCleveland Guardians$19.8K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardChicago White Sox$11.2K
BUY VWAP 38.8¢·6 fills
0xf559…f462Cleveland Guardians$10.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.