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Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmi

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $849.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $468.3KEvent: Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmi
35.5¢
Joelle Steur payout
64.5¢
Francesca Curmi payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:136 trades$137.7K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francesca Curmi · $29.7K net·10 wallets·$99.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrancesca Curmi$8.7K@ 53¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joelle Steur and Francesca Curmi in the Valencia, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Steur' if Joelle Steur advances against Francesca Curmi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Joelle Steur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 14m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 14m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Francesca Curmi2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Francesca Curmi@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +26.0pp
Latest book event: Francesca Curmi DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $138 → $849 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Joelle Steur; negative values favor Francesca Curmi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJoelle Steur · $4.4K
6hFrancesca Curmi · $26.7K
24hFrancesca Curmi · $26.7K

Joelle Steur price VWAP

Volume-weighted Joelle Steur price. Francesca Curmi fills are converted to the complementary Joelle Steur probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h55.8¢▼ below by 20.3pp
VWAP 7d55.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Joelle Steur price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$9.0K
90¢
$6.4K
85¢
$0
80¢
$262
75¢
$4.1K
70¢
$7.1K
65¢
$17.3K
60¢
$15.1K
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$10.3K
45¢
$31.0K
40¢
$6.9K
35¢
← now
$20.1K
30¢
$1.6K
25¢
$1.5K
20¢
$3.7K
15¢
$1.7K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Francesca Curmi$44.6K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·16 fills
HomeRunHazardJoelle Steur$15.5K
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·5 fills
0x1610…ae49Joelle Steur$13.3K
BUY VWAP 27.4¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.