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Rennes: Michele Ribecai vs Titouan Droguet

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $220.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $338.5KEvent: Rennes: Michele Ribecai vs Titouan Droguet
0.1¢
Michele Ribecai
100.0¢
Titouan Droguet
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$97.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 55s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Titouan Droguet · $41.8K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$59.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTitouan Droguet$17.3K@ 93¢·Flaznorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Titouan Droguet pressure: $5.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.6K
6h
−$51.9K
tracked
$97.8K

11 verified profitable wallets: Titouan Droguet · $41.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Titouan Droguet or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Titouan Droguet in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Titouan Droguet. This market will resolve to 'Titouan Droguet' if Titouan Droguet advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Titouan Droguet@ 94.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.1pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Titouan Droguet DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $19.7K → $949 · 26s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michele Ribecai; negative values favor Titouan Droguet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTitouan Droguet · $5.6K
6hTitouan Droguet · $51.9K
24hTitouan Droguet · $51.9K

Michele Ribecai price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michele Ribecai price. Titouan Droguet fills are converted to the complementary Michele Ribecai probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h9.9¢▼ below by 9.9pp
VWAP 7d9.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michele Ribecai price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.3K
20¢
$4.2K
15¢
$4.5K
10¢
$27.6K
5¢
$51.4K
0¢
← now
$6.8K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTitouan Droguet$17.3K@ 93.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpTitouan Droguet$23.9K
BUY VWAP 92.4¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesTitouan Droguet$11.3K
BUY VWAP 92.3¢·14 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.