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Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon

Sports→Settlement: Matisse BobichonLiquidity: $839.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $414.9KEvent: Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon
0.0¢
Adrian Mannarino payout
100.0¢
Matisse Bobichon payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:96 trades$113.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 23 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adrian Mannarino · $12.3K net·13 wallets·$76.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdrian Mannarino$10.2K@ 54¢·xabidaking

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matisse Bobichon. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-24 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Matisse Bobichon in the Rennes, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Matisse Bobichon. This market will resolve to 'Matisse Bobichon' if Matisse Bobichon advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Matisse Bobichon@ 94.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Adrian Mannarino1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Adrian Mannarino@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Adrian Mannarino DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $55 → $1.3K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adrian Mannarino; negative values favor Matisse Bobichon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatisse Bobichon · $10.3K
6hAdrian Mannarino · $41.4K
24hAdrian Mannarino · $36.8K

Adrian Mannarino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adrian Mannarino price. Matisse Bobichon fills are converted to the complementary Adrian Mannarino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h39.6¢▼ below by 39.6pp
VWAP 7d39.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adrian Mannarino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.5K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$22.5K
50¢
$38.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$21.7K
5¢
$7.1K
0¢
← now
$8.4K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAdrian Mannarino$10.2K@ 54.0¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc323…0077Adrian Mannarino$35.4K
BUY VWAP 53.5¢·7 fills
xabidakingAdrian Mannarino$10.2K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.