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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $49.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $365.6KEvent: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
16.5¢
Toronto Blue Jays
83.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly22Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution15Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:61 trades$150.3K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Baltimore Orioles · $3.2K net·5 wallets·$4.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Blue Jays$34.1K@ 45¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$886
6h
+$38.4K
tracked
$150.3K

5 verified profitable wallets: Baltimore Orioles · $3.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -28.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 22 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $49.8K gross
torta.tech2 linked markets · $7.3K gross
0x4f22 linked markets · $4.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Toronto Blue Jays@ 45.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp1h INVALIDATED -38.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Baltimore Orioles@ 55.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Toronto Blue Jays UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $56 → $50 · 62s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Toronto Blue Jays; negative values favor Baltimore Orioles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBaltimore Orioles · $886
6hToronto Blue Jays · $38.4K
24hToronto Blue Jays · $33.2K

Toronto Blue Jays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Toronto Blue Jays price. Baltimore Orioles fills are converted to the complementary Toronto Blue Jays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h43.8¢▼ below by 27.3pp
VWAP 7d43.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Toronto Blue Jays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$110.0K
40¢
$30.9K
35¢
$1
30¢
$0
25¢
$2.1K
20¢
$7.1K
15¢
← now
$166
10¢
$0
5¢
$40
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToronto Blue Jays$34.1K@ 45.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYToronto Blue Jays$16.6K@ 44.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYToronto Blue Jays$11.2K@ 46.0¢
thatguythatguy0x3170…c6a0
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBaltimore Orioles$30.5K@ 54.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Toronto Blue Jays$50.8K
BUY VWAP 44.7¢·2 fills
SDTradingBaltimore Orioles$30.5K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
thatguythatguyToronto Blue Jays$11.2K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.