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Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $940.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.4MEvent: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
38.5¢
Washington Nationals
61.5¢
Detroit Tigers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:132 trades$1.8M tracked14% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Washington Nationals · $63.6K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$63.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers$729.9K@ 63¢·0xe6ca…bff4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Washington Nationals SETUP
What the tape says

Washington Nationals pressure: $31.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$31.1K
6h
−$925.3K
tracked
$1.8M

5 verified profitable wallets: Washington Nationals · $63.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 67

Since latest liquidity absorption: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Washington Nationals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for September 23 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $232.1K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $43.0K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $11.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Washington Nationals@ 39.0¢32m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Detroit Tigers@ 62.0¢32m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Washington Nationals@ 38.0¢52m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Detroit Tigers@ 63.0¢59m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Detroit Tigers UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $308.7K → $24.6K · 24s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Washington Nationals; negative values favor Detroit Tigers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWashington Nationals · $31.1K
6hDetroit Tigers · $925.3K
24hDetroit Tigers · $916.2K

Washington Nationals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Washington Nationals price. Detroit Tigers fills are converted to the complementary Washington Nationals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h37.5¢▲ above by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d37.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Washington Nationals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$214.9K
35¢
← now
$1.5M
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWashington Nationals$15.2K@ 38.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$19.0K@ 38.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$16.0K@ 63.0¢0xe6ca…bff4🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$35.2K@ 63.0¢0xe6ca…bff4🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$729.9K@ 63.0¢0xe6ca…bff4🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$330.1K@ 64.0¢0xe6ca…bff4🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$12.9K@ 38.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$35.2K@ 38.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$12.0K@ 38.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$30.9K@ 38.0¢
wigglew0xc96e…f1f9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$15.8K@ 38.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$24.2K@ 38.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$32.7K@ 38.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$50.2K@ 38.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$143.8K@ 60.0¢0xe6ca…bff4🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$11.4K@ 38.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$67.6K@ 59.0¢0xe6ca…bff4🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$10.7K@ 38.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWashington Nationals$23.8K@ 39.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe6ca…bff4Detroit Tigers$1.3M
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·6 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rWashington Nationals$206.4K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·11 fills
quavooWashington Nationals$40.4K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·11 fills
0x076d…8d4cWashington Nationals$34.5K
BUY VWAP 38.7¢·2 fills
SDTradingWashington Nationals$34.2K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills
wigglewWashington Nationals$30.9K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardWashington Nationals$13.7K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·5 fills
6512395314597884Washington Nationals$13.7K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.