PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $103.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $778.4KEvent: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
99.5¢
Miami Marlins
0.5¢
Chicago Cubs
0.7¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:292 trades$305.1K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $23.2K net·17 wallets·$99.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$9.5K@ 40¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chicago Cubs pressure: $23.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$23.9K
6h
−$38.8K
tracked
$305.1K

17 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $23.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.7¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -69.1pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago Cubs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 22 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $48.5K gross
kkookkoo2 linked markets · $39.4K gross
curie2 linked markets · $17.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago Cubs2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago Cubs@ 70.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.0pp
Latest book event: Miami Marlins UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $5.8K → $345 · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami Marlins; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $23.9K
6hChicago Cubs · $38.8K
24hChicago Cubs · $34.9K

Miami Marlins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami Marlins price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Miami Marlins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.5¢
VWAP 24h39.8¢▲ above by 59.6pp
VWAP 7d39.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Miami Marlins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.8K
90¢
$6.8K
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$2.4K
60¢
$71
55¢
$10.2K
50¢
$20.7K
45¢
$16.8K
40¢
$72.7K
35¢
$41.0K
30¢
$80.8K
25¢
$1.7K
20¢
$15.5K
15¢
$19.8K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur
55.5¢$392.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
4.5¢$295.9Kpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardChicago Cubs$32.5K
BUY VWAP 62.3¢·11 fills
0x1610…ae49Miami Marlins$21.4K
BUY VWAP 34.7¢·3 fills
sulumosMiami Marlins$16.4K
BUY VWAP 34.6¢·6 fills
DimSumConnoisseur.Miami Marlins$16.2K
BUY VWAP 41.2¢·4 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rChicago Cubs$15.1K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·9 fills
curieChicago Cubs$11.4K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.