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Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Alvi DasuyevLiquidity: $69.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $75.4KEvent: Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card)
0.0¢
Jaden Ortega payout
100.0¢
Alvi Dasuyev payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:6 trades$8.3K trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 116 min agoofficial metadata 85 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alvi Dasuyev · $2.1K net·2 wallets·$5.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlvi Dasuyev$2.2K@ 75¢·fkcvffcjt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alvi Dasuyev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jaden Ortega" if Jaden Ortega is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alvi Dasuyev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Alvi Dasuyev" if Alvi Dasuyev is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Jaden Ortega" if Jaden Ortega is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alvi Dasuyev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Alvi Dasuyev" if Alvi Dasuyev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaden Ortega; negative values favor Alvi Dasuyev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlvi Dasuyev · $1.3K
6hAlvi Dasuyev · $4.5K
24hAlvi Dasuyev · $4.5K

Jaden Ortega price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaden Ortega price. Alvi Dasuyev fills are converted to the complementary Jaden Ortega probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.6¢▼ below by 25.6pp
VWAP 7d25.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaden Ortega price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$2.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$1.8K
0¢
← now
$391

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.