PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska

● quote 28s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $372.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $733.4KEvent: Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska
0.1¢
Eva Lys
100.0¢
Nadia Podoroska
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 25 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:303 trades$250.7K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nadia Podoroska · $79.2K net·25 wallets·$142.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEva Lys$10.0K@ 45¢·0x658e…d758

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Nadia Podoroska pressure: $22.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.9K
6h
−$24.0K
tracked
$250.7K

25 verified profitable wallets: Nadia Podoroska · $79.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +38.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 38.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nadia Podoroska or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-24 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lys and Nadia Podoroska in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lys' if Eva Lys advances against Nadia Podoroska. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Eva Lys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Nadia Podoroska@ 62.0¢41m ago
15m CONFIRMED +32.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Eva Lys1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Eva Lys@ 54.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Nadia Podoroska UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $73.1K → $42.3K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eva Lys; negative values favor Nadia Podoroska. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNadia Podoroska · $22.9K
6hNadia Podoroska · $24.0K
24hNadia Podoroska · $24.0K

Eva Lys price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eva Lys price. Nadia Podoroska fills are converted to the complementary Eva Lys probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h32.0¢▼ below by 31.9pp
VWAP 7d32.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Eva Lys price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$4.1K
60¢
$5.1K
55¢
$3.9K
50¢
$8.8K
45¢
$36.8K
40¢
$39.0K
35¢
$38.8K
30¢
$18.9K
25¢
$16.6K
20¢
$11.1K
15¢
$18.8K
10¢
$9.9K
5¢
$17.4K
0¢
← now
$21.5K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEva Lys$10.0K@ 44.8¢0x658e…d758🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Lions vs. Bills
30.5¢$7.0Mpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
52.3¢$295.4Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesNadia Podoroska$33.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·32 fills
0x076d…8d4cNadia Podoroska$24.5K
BUY VWAP 80.5¢·9 fills
RN1Nadia Podoroska$16.1K
BUY VWAP 83.3¢·6 fills
RebornAthenaEva Lys$16.0K
BUY VWAP 43.5¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49Eva Lys$15.4K
BUY VWAP 18.2¢·5 fills
DanielbkckEva Lys$15.0K
BUY VWAP 45.2¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardNadia Podoroska$10.8K
BUY VWAP 76.7¢·3 fills
0x658e…d758Eva Lys$10.0K
BUY VWAP 44.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.