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Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 8 minutesLiquidity: $35.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $73.2KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
42.5¢
Detroit Tigers
57.5¢
Washington Nationals
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$38.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 112 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Washington Nationals · $4.5K net·2 wallets·$6.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWashington Nationals$18.8K@ 57¢·wr0ngw4yb3tt0r

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$36.2K
tracked
$38.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Washington Nationals · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 112 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for September 23 at 1:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $232.1K gross
SDTrading2 linked markets · $55.6K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $51.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Washington Nationals@ 59.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Detroit Tigers; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDetroit Tigers · $0
6hWashington Nationals · $36.2K
24hWashington Nationals · $36.2K

Detroit Tigers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Detroit Tigers price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Detroit Tigers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h42.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d42.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Detroit Tigers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$38.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYWashington Nationals$18.8K@ 57.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

wr0ngw4yb3tt0rWashington Nationals$25.7K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.