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Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Sports→Settlement: Miami MarlinsLiquidity: $544.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $387.4KEvent: Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
100.0¢
Miami Marlins payout
0.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $32.3K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$51.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$10.3K@ 63¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Miami Marlins. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 23 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $34.8K gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $7.5K gross
0x9b11…53752 linked markets · $4.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami Marlins; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $7.0K
6hChicago Cubs · $56.7K
24hChicago Cubs · $66.2K

Miami Marlins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami Marlins price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Miami Marlins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h47.1¢▲ above by 52.9pp
VWAP 7d47.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami Marlins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$88
80¢
$2.3K
75¢
$81
70¢
$3.9K
65¢
$15.5K
60¢
$10.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$10
45¢
$0
40¢
$38.0K
35¢
$66.2K
30¢
$6.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$10.3K@ 63.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

taylorsversionMiami Marlins$24.5K
BUY VWAP 46.1¢·6 fills
HomeRunHazardChicago Cubs$20.0K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·5 fills
Sunny24Chicago Cubs$10.9K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Chicago Cubs$10.3K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.