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Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Aurora GamingLiquidity: $272.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $275.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
0.0¢
NRG payout
100.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:73 trades$95.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 40 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $6.9K net·7 wallets·$17.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAurora Gaming$20.6K@ 100¢·aaaa298

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Aurora Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 22:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against NRG.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between NRG and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against NRG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $61.3K gross
RN13 linked markets · $28.3K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $22.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aurora Gaming DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $3.4K → $832 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor NRG; negative values favor Aurora Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNRG · $39.7K
6hNRG · $29.1K
24hNRG · $29.1K

NRG price VWAP

Volume-weighted NRG price. Aurora Gaming fills are converted to the complementary NRG probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h17.9¢▼ below by 17.9pp
VWAP 7d17.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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NRG price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$721
40¢
$772
35¢
$29.3K
30¢
$14.9K
25¢
$1.8K
20¢
$298
15¢
$2.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$109
0¢
← now
$44.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAurora Gaming$20.6K@ 99.9¢
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAurora Gaming$10.0K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Aurora Gaming$11.7K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·6 fills
aaaa298Aurora Gaming$10.8K
BUY VWAP 65.8¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.