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Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $554.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $533.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
0.1¢
NRG
100.0¢
Aurora Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:217 trades$198.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 55s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NRG · $6.7K net·12 wallets·$34.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAurora Gaming$14.1K@ 100¢·TLking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NRG pressure: $63.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$63.4K
6h
+$52.9K
tracked
$198.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: NRG · $6.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NRG or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 22:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against NRG.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between NRG and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against NRG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $88.0K gross
iii2523 linked markets · $30.6K gross
RN13 linked markets · $28.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aurora Gaming DOWN 8.5pp · near-book depth $5.6K → $37 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor NRG; negative values favor Aurora Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNRG · $63.4K
6hNRG · $52.9K
24hNRG · $52.9K

NRG price VWAP

Volume-weighted NRG price. Aurora Gaming fills are converted to the complementary NRG probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h20.4¢▼ below by 20.3pp
VWAP 7d20.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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NRG price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$207
65¢
$4.5K
60¢
$1.3K
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$18.6K
40¢
$8.4K
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$16.4K
25¢
$33.5K
20¢
$7.5K
15¢
$10.3K
10¢
$8.0K
5¢
$7.4K
0¢
← now
$74.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAurora Gaming$14.1K@ 99.9¢
TLking0x74b7…8b0b
🐋—25 minutes ago
SELLAurora Gaming$12.1K@ 99.9¢
redvinny0x56c9…0d9e
🐋—25 minutes ago
SELLAurora Gaming$11.3K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—28 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

aaaa298Aurora Gaming$14.7K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.