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Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato

Sports→Settlement: Lisa PigatoLiquidity: $559.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $838.8KEvent: Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
0.0¢
Susan Bandecchi payout
100.0¢
Lisa Pigato payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:143 trades$342.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 44 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Susan Bandecchi · $24.4K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$249.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSusan Bandecchi$29.8K@ 75¢·watcherz88

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lisa Pigato. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-25 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Susan Bandecchi and Lisa Pigato in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Susan Bandecchi' if Susan Bandecchi advances against Lisa Pigato. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Pigato' if Lisa Pigato advances against Susan Bandecchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Susan Bandecchi@ 44.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Susan Bandecchi@ 75.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Susan Bandecchi@ 74.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Lisa Pigato@ 43.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -23.0pp1h CONFIRMED +31.0pp
Latest book event: Lisa Pigato UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $27.4K → $146 · 23s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Susan Bandecchi; negative values favor Lisa Pigato. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSusan Bandecchi · $42.5K
6hSusan Bandecchi · $63.4K
24hSusan Bandecchi · $63.4K

Susan Bandecchi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Susan Bandecchi price. Lisa Pigato fills are converted to the complementary Susan Bandecchi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h53.2¢▼ below by 53.2pp
VWAP 7d53.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Susan Bandecchi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$8
75¢
$44.5K
70¢
$25.5K
65¢
$35.3K
60¢
$57.2K
55¢
$36.1K
50¢
$12.9K
45¢
$17.1K
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$28.2K
30¢
$48.9K
25¢
$30.3K
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$2.3K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSusan Bandecchi$29.8K@ 75.0¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSusan Bandecchi$16.0K@ 65.3¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSusan Bandecchi$14.4K@ 61.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLisa Pigato$12.4K@ 45.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLisa Pigato$13.9K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLisa Pigato$11.2K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Susan Bandecchi$99.7K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·17 fills
0x1610…ae49Lisa Pigato$88.6K
BUY VWAP 39.8¢·14 fills
watcherz88Susan Bandecchi$42.2K
BUY VWAP 70.5¢·3 fills
0x78be…bde0Susan Bandecchi$16.0K
BUY VWAP 65.3¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesLisa Pigato$10.3K
BUY VWAP 66.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.