PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $380Official 24h Vol: $233.7KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
87.0¢
Over
13.0¢
Under
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution58Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$99.2K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $5.2K net·3 wallets·$5.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$41.2K@ 53¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Over pressure: $3.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.5K
6h
−$4.6K
tracked
$99.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Over · $5.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +40.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 40.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Over or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 9 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 18 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $9.3K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $1.8K gross
0x9674…e1a22 linked markets · $68 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 54.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Under DOWN 25.5pp · near-book depth $2 → $6 · 61s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $3.5K
6hUnder · $4.6K
24hUnder · $4.6K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current87.0¢
VWAP 24h47.3¢▲ above by 39.8pp
VWAP 7d47.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.4K
45¢
$95.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$94
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$37.3K@ 47.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUnder$41.2K@ 53.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYUnder$10.7K@ 52.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
42.5¢$267.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
100.0¢$983.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$626.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
100.0¢$534.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$525.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
55.5¢$504.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
81.5¢$479.4Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Under$51.9K
BUY VWAP 52.8¢·2 fills
Sassy-BucketOver$37.3K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.