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LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $724.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $419.2KEvent: LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C
0.1¢
Cupid Esports
100.0¢
Dplus KIA Challengers
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:157 trades$163.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 32s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dplus KIA Challengers · $1.2K net·6 wallets·$11.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDplus KIA Challengers$12.3K@ 100¢·Grig515

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Cupid Esports pressure: $31.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$31.5K
6h
+$9.3K
tracked
$163.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Dplus KIA Challengers · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cupid Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against Cupid Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Cupid Esports and Dplus KIA Challengers in the World Star Challengers Invitational Group C, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against Cupid Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Cupid Esports DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $49 → $269 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cupid Esports; negative values favor Dplus KIA Challengers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCupid Esports · $31.5K
6hCupid Esports · $9.3K
24hCupid Esports · $8.2K

Cupid Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cupid Esports price. Dplus KIA Challengers fills are converted to the complementary Cupid Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h9.0¢▼ below by 9.0pp
VWAP 7d9.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cupid Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.3K
20¢
$31.8K
15¢
$19.0K
10¢
$10.7K
5¢
$13.4K
0¢
← now
$84.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDplus KIA Challengers$12.3K@ 99.9¢
Grig5150x98d5…2ec4
🐋—12 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9e3e…f882Dplus KIA Challengers$10.3K
BUY VWAP 88.8¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.