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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $137.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $460.1KEvent: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
37.5¢
St. Louis Cardinals
62.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:114 trades$211.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pittsburgh Pirates · $18.1K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$70.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPittsburgh Pirates$39.0K@ 60¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Pittsburgh Pirates pressure: $24.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$24.6K
6h
−$48.4K
tracked
$211.3K

15 verified profitable wallets: Pittsburgh Pirates · $18.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pittsburgh Pirates or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 16:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 24 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $9.0K gross
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $3.6K gross
0x9b11…53752 linked markets · $1.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 60.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +3.0pp
Latest book event: Pittsburgh Pirates UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $8 → $4.4K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor St. Louis Cardinals; negative values favor Pittsburgh Pirates. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $24.6K
6hPittsburgh Pirates · $48.4K
24hPittsburgh Pirates · $48.4K

St. Louis Cardinals price VWAP

Volume-weighted St. Louis Cardinals price. Pittsburgh Pirates fills are converted to the complementary St. Louis Cardinals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h40.8¢▼ below by 3.3pp
VWAP 7d40.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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St. Louis Cardinals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$33.2K
40¢
$103.1K
35¢
← now
$71.9K
30¢
$194
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$16.7K@ 54.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals$10.9K@ 42.6¢
Mustamusta0xe4c1…7bed
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$10.1K@ 65.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$39.0K@ 60.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooPittsburgh Pirates$39.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
FeromontSt. Louis Cardinals$23.8K
BUY VWAP 39.7¢·4 fills
0x1610…ae49Pittsburgh Pirates$16.7K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardPittsburgh Pirates$12.1K
BUY VWAP 63.8¢·3 fills
MustamustaSt. Louis Cardinals$10.9K
BUY VWAP 42.6¢·1 fill
beeemwPittsburgh Pirates$10.1K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.