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Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox

Sports→Settlement: Cleveland GuardiansLiquidity: $282.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $411.2KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
100.0¢
Cleveland Guardians payout
0.0¢
Boston Red Sox payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:113 trades$160.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cleveland Guardians · $9.3K net·13 wallets(3🐋)·$91.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$28.2K@ 46¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cleveland Guardians. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-01 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 24 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $31.3K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $19.5K gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $14.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cleveland Guardians3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 45.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $45.3K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $7.2K
6hCleveland Guardians · $20.8K
24hCleveland Guardians · $7.1K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h56.9¢▲ above by 43.1pp
VWAP 7d56.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$514
90¢
$3.5K
85¢
$112
80¢
$10.9K
75¢
$2.7K
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$14.7K
60¢
$38.2K
55¢
$14.5K
50¢
$48
45¢
$59.2K
40¢
$13.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBoston Red Sox$10.5K@ 20.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$18.6K@ 38.7¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$11.5K@ 56.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$28.2K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Cleveland Guardians$28.2K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Boston Red Sox$20.8K
BUY VWAP 28.4¢·3 fills
kkookkooBoston Red Sox$18.6K
BUY VWAP 38.7¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Boston Red Sox$11.5K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
BIessCleveland Guardians$11.0K
BUY VWAP 63.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.