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Spread: Delaware (-5.5)

Sports→Settlement: DelawareLiquidity: $3.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $226.9KEvent: Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware
100.0¢
Delaware payout
0.0¢
Coastal Carolina payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Delaware · $3.3K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$29.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDelaware$20.0K@ 51¢·0xb4f9…c9a7

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Delaware. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 19 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Delaware" if Delaware win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r3 linked markets · $106.4K gross
ethanaz2 linked markets · $70.4K gross
Kch-Temp3 linked markets · $51.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Coastal Carolina5d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Coastal Carolina@ 50.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Delaware@ 51.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -23.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Delaware@ 51.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -23.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Delaware; negative values favor Coastal Carolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDelaware · $0
6hCoastal Carolina · $16.3K
24hCoastal Carolina · $16.3K

Delaware price VWAP

Volume-weighted Delaware price. Coastal Carolina fills are converted to the complementary Delaware probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.2¢▲ above by 49.8pp
VWAP 7d50.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Delaware price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$92.1K
45¢
$4.6K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCoastal Carolina$15.2K@ 50.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—5 days ago
BUYDelaware$20.0K@ 51.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—5 days ago
BUYDelaware$16.2K@ 50.8¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

maz26Coastal Carolina$20.4K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Delaware$20.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
Kch-TempDelaware$16.2K
BUY VWAP 50.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.