PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $57.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $448.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
43.5¢
MOUZ
56.5¢
FURIA
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets43Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:84 trades$181.9K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 50s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $10.7K net·7 wallets·$24.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA$22.5K@ 45¢·Ancient-Strike

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

MOUZ pressure: $24.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$24.3K
6h
+$34.8K
tracked
$181.9K

7 verified profitable wallets: FURIA · $10.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 53

Since latest large flow: -15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from MOUZ or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against FURIA.

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against MOUZ.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and FURIA in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Ancient-Strike2 linked markets · $45.4K gross
aaaa2982 linked markets · $31.8K gross
Blur92 linked markets · $2.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY FURIA8m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 59.0¢25m ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 45.0¢29m ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: MOUZ DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $278 → $1.1K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor MOUZ; negative values favor FURIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $24.3K
6hMOUZ · $34.8K
24hMOUZ · $29.3K

MOUZ price VWAP

Volume-weighted MOUZ price. FURIA fills are converted to the complementary MOUZ probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h56.8¢▼ below by 13.3pp
VWAP 7d56.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

MOUZ price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$24.3K
55¢
$157.3K
50¢
$298
45¢
$10
40¢
← now
$34
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$10.1K@ 56.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYFURIA$22.5K@ 45.0¢
Ancient-Strike0xc9ae…b9e0
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYMOUZ$20.0K@ 56.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYFURIA$10.3K@ 45.0¢
VitalityFan0xa7b1…8801
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYFURIA$18.3K@ 44.0¢
Ancient-Strike0xc9ae…b9e0
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYMOUZ$10.0K@ 57.0¢
retordedgremlin1250xf0b6…2fef
🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYMOUZ$13.4K@ 56.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
18.5¢$127.0Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$2.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$2.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
63.0¢$1.5Mpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
77.5¢$1.2Mpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
25.5¢$859.3Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
56.5¢$588.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Ancient-StrikeFURIA$40.8K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills
CORGI8MOUZ$29.5K
BUY VWAP 56.2¢·3 fills
0xf559…f462MOUZ$20.0K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49FURIA$16.9K
BUY VWAP 43.1¢·2 fills
VitalityFanFURIA$10.3K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
retordedgremlin125MOUZ$10.0K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.