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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $128.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $219.5KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
14.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
85.5¢
Detroit Tigers
0.8¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:68 trades$115.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Detroit Tigers · $3.6K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$45.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers$20.3K@ 52¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Detroit Tigers pressure: $22.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.4K
6h
−$31.6K
tracked
$115.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Detroit Tigers · $3.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.8¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 47

Since latest market sweep: +5.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Detroit Tigers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for September 25 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Detroit Tigers2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Detroit Tigers@ 80.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +18.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Detroit Tigers2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 72.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h INVALIDATED -64.0pp
Latest book event: Pittsburgh Pirates UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $155 → $506 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor Detroit Tigers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDetroit Tigers · $22.4K
6hDetroit Tigers · $31.6K
24hDetroit Tigers · $31.6K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. Detroit Tigers fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current14.5¢
VWAP 24h28.8¢▼ below by 14.3pp
VWAP 7d28.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5
65¢
$3.2K
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1
45¢
$23.8K
40¢
$19.8K
35¢
$12.9K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$6.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$13.5K
5¢
$14.0K
0¢
$20.0K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDetroit Tigers$10.1K@ 91.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$16.7K@ 44.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDetroit Tigers$20.3K@ 52.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafDetroit Tigers$20.3K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Pittsburgh Pirates$16.7K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
curieDetroit Tigers$10.5K
BUY VWAP 97.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.