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Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $19.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $213.4KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays
78.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
21.5¢
Toronto Blue Jays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:49 trades$97.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Toronto Blue Jays · $61.8K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$71.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Blue Jays$45.1K@ 59¢·Talvez10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Toronto Blue Jays SETUP
What the tape says

Toronto Blue Jays pressure: $17.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$17.4K
6h
−$80.7K
tracked
$97.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Toronto Blue Jays · $61.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 68

Since latest large flow: -38.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Toronto Blue Jays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 23:07 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 25 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Toronto Blue Jays@ 60.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Cincinnati Reds UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $53.5K → $643 · 42s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Toronto Blue Jays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hToronto Blue Jays · $17.4K
6hToronto Blue Jays · $80.7K
24hToronto Blue Jays · $76.8K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Toronto Blue Jays fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current78.5¢
VWAP 24h36.9¢▲ above by 41.6pp
VWAP 7d36.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$24
70¢
$1
65¢
$1
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.9K
40¢
$67.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$9.5K
20¢
$8.5K
15¢
$4.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToronto Blue Jays$45.1K@ 59.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Toronto Blue Jays$45.1K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.