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Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $161.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $388.7KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
0.1¢
Chicago Cubs
100.0¢
Boston Red Sox
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:123 trades$193.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $15.4K net·7 wallets·$24.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoston Red Sox$18.7K@ 52¢·gvrgb326552g65

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Boston Red Sox pressure: $16.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$16.0K
6h
−$37.1K
tracked
$193.4K

7 verified profitable wallets: Boston Red Sox · $15.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -55.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Boston Red Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-02 21:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $17.4K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $16.4K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $12.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 56.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -11.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Boston Red Sox2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs DOWN 13.5pp · near-book depth $19.0K → $66 · 35s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Boston Red Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $16.0K
6hBoston Red Sox · $37.1K
24hBoston Red Sox · $37.1K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Boston Red Sox fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h45.8¢▼ below by 45.7pp
VWAP 7d45.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$51
55¢
$33.1K
50¢
$59.1K
45¢
$55.2K
40¢
$12.8K
35¢
$418
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$10.1K
0¢
← now
$22.7K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBoston Red Sox$12.0K@ 99.9¢
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58
🐋—1 minute ago
BUYChicago Cubs$18.5K@ 57.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$18.7K@ 52.0¢
gvrgb326552g650x676c…e139
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

gvrgb326552g65Boston Red Sox$25.1K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooChicago Cubs$24.6K
BUY VWAP 57.3¢·3 fills
taylorsversionBoston Red Sox$24.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·5 fills
Velin217Boston Red Sox$16.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·4 fills
1winstreak1Boston Red Sox$10.1K
BUY VWAP 90.3¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.