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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Sports→Settlement: Arizona DiamondbacksLiquidity: $164.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $460.1KEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
100.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks payout
0.0¢
San Diego Padres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:124 trades$129.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arizona Diamondbacks · $39.8K net·8 wallets·$45.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$18.0K@ 49¢·quavoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Arizona Diamondbacks. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 25 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $20.3K gross
AppleTiime2 linked markets · $7.8K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $5.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Arizona Diamondbacks4h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 51.0¢4h ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h CONFIRMED +36.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $366 → $296 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArizona Diamondbacks · $1.8K
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $85.3K
24hArizona Diamondbacks · $82.8K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.1¢▲ above by 40.9pp
VWAP 7d59.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.1K
90¢
$229
85¢
$2
80¢
$10.5K
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$10.4K
65¢
$18.0K
60¢
$12.9K
55¢
$5.3K
50¢
$10.1K
45¢
$56.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$18.0K@ 49.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooArizona Diamondbacks$39.2K
BUY VWAP 48.1¢·12 fills
dabossrealmanArizona Diamondbacks$14.8K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardArizona Diamondbacks$13.0K
BUY VWAP 70.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.