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Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Samira De Stefano

Sports→Settlement: Samira De StefanoLiquidity: $465.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $181.8KEvent: Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Samira De Stefano
0.0¢
Mona Barthel payout
100.0¢
Samira De Stefano payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:78 trades$39.6K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Samira De Stefano · $17.6K net·12 wallets·$26.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSamira De Stefano$5.5K@ 26¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Samira De Stefano. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mona Barthel and Samira De Stefano in the Ljubljana, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mona Barthel' if Mona Barthel advances against Samira De Stefano. This market will resolve to 'Samira De Stefano' if Samira De Stefano advances against Mona Barthel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Mona Barthel DOWN 11.0pp · near-book depth $728 → $2.8K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mona Barthel; negative values favor Samira De Stefano. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMona Barthel · $3.7K
6hSamira De Stefano · $14.6K
24hSamira De Stefano · $15.8K

Mona Barthel price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mona Barthel price. Samira De Stefano fills are converted to the complementary Mona Barthel probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h43.9¢▼ below by 43.9pp
VWAP 7d43.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mona Barthel price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$51
75¢
$0
70¢
$6.9K
65¢
$4.0K
60¢
$8.2K
55¢
$2.1K
50¢
$3.5K
45¢
$283
40¢
$392
35¢
$355
30¢
$2
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$2.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$8.1K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Samira De Stefano$14.8K
BUY VWAP 31.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.