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Plovdiv 4: Adrian Andreev vs Saba Purtseladze

● quote 48 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $10.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $240.6KEvent: Plovdiv 4: Adrian Andreev vs Saba Purtseladze
99.5¢
Adrian Andreev
0.5¢
Saba Purtseladze
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:6 trades$58.1K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 444 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAdrian Andreev$34.7K@ 99¢·tenniz

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$58.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 48 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 444 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Andreev and Saba Purtseladze in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Andreev' if Adrian Andreev advances against Saba Purtseladze. This market will resolve to 'Saba Purtseladze' if Saba Purtseladze advances against Adrian Andreev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adrian Andreev; negative values favor Saba Purtseladze. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdrian Andreev · $0
6hAdrian Andreev · $0
24hSaba Purtseladze · $11.3K

Adrian Andreev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adrian Andreev price. Saba Purtseladze fills are converted to the complementary Adrian Andreev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.5¢
VWAP 24h96.7¢▲ above by 2.8pp
VWAP 7d96.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adrian Andreev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$53.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$5.0K
70¢
$9
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAdrian Andreev$34.7K@ 99.0¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABAdrian Andreev$17.7K
BUY VWAP 91.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.