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Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $118.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.5KEvent: Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria
56.0¢
Lucio Ratti
44.0¢
Federico Coria
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets47Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:53 trades$71.1K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lucio Ratti · $13.4K net·8 wallets·$17.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLucio Ratti$10.0K@ 56¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Federico Coria SETUP
What the tape says

Federico Coria pressure: $12.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.4K
6h
+$9.9K
tracked
$71.1K

8 verified profitable wallets: Lucio Ratti · $13.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 83% · priority 61

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Federico Coria or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-28 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Federico Coria in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Federico Coria. This market will resolve to 'Federico Coria' if Federico Coria advances against Lucio Ratti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Federico Coria UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $22.1K → $22.5K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lucio Ratti; negative values favor Federico Coria. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFederico Coria · $12.4K
6hLucio Ratti · $9.9K
24hLucio Ratti · $8.6K

Lucio Ratti price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lucio Ratti price. Federico Coria fills are converted to the complementary Lucio Ratti probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.0¢
VWAP 24h56.5¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d56.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lucio Ratti price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.4K
75¢
$115
70¢
$7.1K
65¢
$8.0K
60¢
$6.1K
55¢
← now
$36.0K
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$2.6K
30¢
$8.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe92d…0939Lucio Ratti$12.8K
BUY VWAP 68.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.