PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $523.8KEvent: Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
99.9¢
GamerLegion
3.0¢
Pipsqueak+4
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:162 trades$211.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 39s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pipsqueak+4 · $1 net·13 wallets·$27.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGamerLegion$29.0K@ 100¢·0xe2d0…7bbf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Pipsqueak+4 pressure: $44.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$44.4K
6h
−$48.6K
tracked
$211.5K

13 verified profitable wallets: Pipsqueak+4 · $1 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +55.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 55.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pipsqueak+4 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-21 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against Pipsqueak+4.

•This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win Game 2 against GamerLegion.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between GamerLegion and Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against Pipsqueak+4. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win Game 2 against GamerLegion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $49.0K gross
0xe2d0…7bbf2 linked markets · $44.2K gross
Sunshine.Smile3 linked markets · $26.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pipsqueak+4@ 45.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp
Latest book event: Pipsqueak+4 DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $138 → $191 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor GamerLegion; negative values favor Pipsqueak+4. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPipsqueak+4 · $44.4K
6hPipsqueak+4 · $48.6K
24hPipsqueak+4 · $48.6K

GamerLegion price VWAP

Volume-weighted GamerLegion price. Pipsqueak+4 fills are converted to the complementary GamerLegion probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h76.7¢▲ above by 23.2pp
VWAP 7d76.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

GamerLegion price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$84.1K
90¢
$3.7K
85¢
$24.9K
80¢
$5.0K
75¢
$9.1K
70¢
$4.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$14.0K
50¢
$23.5K
45¢
$7.2K
40¢
$35.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGamerLegion$29.0K@ 99.9¢0xe2d0…7bbf🐋—28 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
63.5¢$124.6Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C
0.1¢$365.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D
100.0¢$313.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Pipsqueak+4$16.0K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.