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LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner

Sports→Settlement: FlyQuestLiquidity: $475.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $423.9KEvent: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
100.0¢
FlyQuest payout
0.0¢
Shopify Rebellion payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$16.2K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1402 min agoofficial metadata 1375 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Shopify Rebellion · $19.6K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$78.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFlyQuest$23.4K@ 100¢·0xf201…527e

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome FlyQuest. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 3 against Shopify Rebellion.

•This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 3 against FlyQuest.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 3 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 3 against FlyQuest. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $169.2K gross
bloodmaster3 linked markets · $98.6K gross
5e46h5 linked markets · $39.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FlyQuest; negative values favor Shopify Rebellion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShopify Rebellion · $16.2K
6hShopify Rebellion · $52.2K
24hShopify Rebellion · $52.2K

FlyQuest price VWAP

Volume-weighted FlyQuest price. Shopify Rebellion fills are converted to the complementary FlyQuest probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.5¢▲ above by 13.5pp
VWAP 7d86.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FlyQuest price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$106.8K
90¢
$21.2K
85¢
$8.5K
80¢
$3.4K
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$11.7K
60¢
$28.3K
55¢
$19.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFlyQuest$16.2K@ 99.9¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—about 24 hours ago
SELLFlyQuest$19.4K@ 99.9¢0xf201…527e🐋—1 day ago
SELLFlyQuest$23.4K@ 99.9¢0xf201…527e🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eFlyQuest$25.7K
BUY VWAP 72.2¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.