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Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $424.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $424.5KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet
0.1¢
Aleksandar Vukic
100.0¢
Kyrian Jacquet
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets73Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:168 trades$162.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kyrian Jacquet · $12.7K net·13 wallets·$17.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKyrian Jacquet$37.6K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Aleksandar Vukic pressure: $31.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$31.2K
6h
+$48.0K
tracked
$162.7K

13 verified profitable wallets: Kyrian Jacquet · $12.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aleksandar Vukic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Kyrian Jacquet in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Kyrian Jacquet. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Aleksandar Vukic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Aleksandar Vukic DOWN 10.0pp · near-book depth $29 → $410 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aleksandar Vukic; negative values favor Kyrian Jacquet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAleksandar Vukic · $31.2K
6hAleksandar Vukic · $48.0K
24hAleksandar Vukic · $44.2K

Aleksandar Vukic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aleksandar Vukic price. Kyrian Jacquet fills are converted to the complementary Aleksandar Vukic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h29.0¢▼ below by 29.0pp
VWAP 7d29.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aleksandar Vukic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$331
65¢
$238
60¢
$26
55¢
$200
50¢
$16.5K
45¢
$38.2K
40¢
$29.1K
35¢
$6.0K
30¢
$3.9K
25¢
$13.1K
20¢
$2.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$52.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKyrian Jacquet$37.6K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—12 minutes ago
SELLKyrian Jacquet$13.8K@ 99.9¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYKyrian Jacquet$22.2K@ 59.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—37 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooKyrian Jacquet$22.2K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.