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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

● quote 25s ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $367.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $249.7KEvent: LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
100.0¢
FURIA Esports
0.1¢
RED Canids
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:80 trades$58.7K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA Esports · $1.5K net·8 wallets·$11.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFURIA Esports$7.0K@ 100¢·asfg1rr1s

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

RED Canids pressure: $5.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.2K
6h
−$12.0K
tracked
$58.7K

8 verified profitable wallets: FURIA Esports · $1.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from RED Canids or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against RED Canids.

•This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 1 against FURIA Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 1 against FURIA Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
TLking2 linked markets · $22.9K gross
Mrfattytiger2 linked markets · $16.2K gross
ColinHe2 linked markets · $15.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: RED Canids DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $112 → $24 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA Esports; negative values favor RED Canids. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRED Canids · $5.2K
6hRED Canids · $12.0K
24hRED Canids · $12.4K

FURIA Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA Esports price. RED Canids fills are converted to the complementary FURIA Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.6¢▲ above by 13.4pp
VWAP 7d86.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$34.5K
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$24
80¢
$108
75¢
$62
70¢
$392
65¢
$11.6K
60¢
$6.1K
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.