PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Texas Tech (-34.5)

● quote 32s ago
Sports→Closes: about 14 hoursLiquidity: $56.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $10.7KEvent: Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech
51.5¢
Texas Tech
48.5¢
Sam Houston
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:5 trades$26.4K tracked20% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 163 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas Tech$21.8K@ 52¢·0xb4f9…c9a7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$29
tracked
$26.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Sam Houston · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 163 minutes old.
  • •Less than 14h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-26 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the game by 35 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sam Houston".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the game by 35 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sam Houston". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Texas Tech; negative values favor Sam Houston. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTexas Tech · $0
6hSam Houston · $29
24hTexas Tech · $22.3K

Texas Tech price VWAP

Volume-weighted Texas Tech price. Sam Houston fills are converted to the complementary Texas Tech probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h51.5¢▲ above by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d51.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Texas Tech price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$26.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTexas Tech$21.8K@ 51.8¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Clemson vs. California
56.5¢$676.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell
41.5¢$643.4Kpriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
0.9¢$568.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
0.0¢$478.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
22.5¢$472.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
51.5¢$432.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$426.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb4f9…c9a7Texas Tech$21.8K
BUY VWAP 51.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.